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Alexander W. Dreyfoos School of the Arts | 501 S. Sapodilla Ave, WPB, FL 33401

THE MUSE

Alexander W. Dreyfoos School of the Arts | 501 S. Sapodilla Ave, WPB, FL 33401

THE MUSE

HOW TO INTERPRET THE CONE OF DEATH

HOW+TO+INTERPRET+THE+CONE+OF+DEATH

It has only been three days since Gov. Ron Desantis declared a state of emergency across all 67 counties, but Palm Beach County is already bracing for Hurricane Dorian’s impact. Gas stations are running out of fuel and cases of water are flying off of store shelves. 

In a time of such anxiety, many immediately turn on their TVs or phones to see where the hurricane may move next. it is crucial to understand what information the commonly used National Hurricane Center forecast does and does not convey.  While many call it “Cone of Death,” its real name is the less extravagant “Cone of Uncertainty.” Read on to clear up other misconceptions about this well-known projection.

What the Cone of Uncertainty DOES NOT show

  • The exact path of the hurricane. In fact, one-third of hurricanes end up outside of the cone, according to the National Hurricane Center.
  • The scope of hazardous conditions. Hazardous conditions such as heavy wind, rain, and storm surge are possible outside of the cone.
  • The extent of evacuation zones

 

 

What the Cone of Uncertainty DOES show

  • The probable track of the center of the hurricane 
  • A general estimate of the size of the storm (go to the National Hurricane Center and click on the map)

Always listen to evacuation orders and have at least seven days of supplies, including food, water, and medicine. Always have a plan in case of disaster. Stay safe Dreyfoos. 

Find out more information here: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/, http://discover.pbcgov.org/publicsafety/dem/Pages/Hurricane.aspx.

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About the Contributors
George Wu, Editor In Chief
George Wu is a third-year staffer and a co-editor-in-chief of The Muse and is also the managing editor of Seeds Literary & Arts Magazine. He loves tungsten, learning foreign languages, succumbing to the YouTube recommendation algorithm by watching many TED-Ed videos one after another and being politically active. He knows the power and necessity of honest reporting and wants to do everything he can to champion it. If you want to contact this editor, you may reach them at [email protected]
Emma Garrett is a third-year staffer and the co-editor-in-chief on The Muse. When she’s not writing, she’s reading whatever she can get her hands on, listening to musicals, and coaching students as an executive of the Slam Poetry Team. She believes in the power of words and good journalism. Above all else, she asks “Why?” relentlessly. If you would like to contact this editor, you may reach them at [email protected]
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